The single-serve surge is finally slowing in North America and Europe as household penetration plateaus, but coffee drinkers in Asia are picking up the pace.
Outside of Asia, coffee pods account for a quarter of all global pod sales. Pod sales are showing positive signs of growth in Asia, with coffee pods taking 13% of all coffee launches in the region, an increase from 4% in 2011.
According to Mintel’s Global New Products Database, between 2011 and 2016, the number of new coffee products launched in Asia has almost doubled.
Three of the five fastest growing coffee markets are in Asia with Indonesia reporting 19.6% annual growth since 2011. India grew at 15.1% and Vietnam at 14.% during the same period.
ALSO:
More than a Pretty Package: The Importance of Form and Function
Tossing Single-Serve into the Trash
“Asia has far more growth potential as traditionally tea drinking consumers are converted slowly but surely into coffee drinkers,” said Jonny Forsyth, global drinks analyst at Mintel. Instant coffee predominates but “as consumers trade up from instant coffee, pod, and capsule sales will increase,” Forsyth added.According to the FAO, “as the middle classes of the developing world continue to swell, as their incomes rise and coffee remains affordable, the luxury of the occasional coffee has become a daily habit in an ever-growing number of countries.”
“Most emerging coffee markets remain in the ‘first wave’ of coffee; however, some are starting to enter the ‘second wave’ as foodservice outlets and coffee shops aggressively push Western coffee lifestyles and local coffee shops pick up the baton,” said Forsyth.
There were an estimated 20 billion single-serve servings in 2016. While the rate of growth has slowed to under 2% in the US according to the National Coffee Association (NCA)
Competition among suppliers continues to drive down costs with private label offerings for K-Cup machines nearing $0.25 a cup.
In Europe, Aldi introduced the first Nespresso-compatible brewer for $65 (£50). Capsules there sell for as little as $0.23 cents.
Keurig, Nescafé Dolce Gusto, Nespresso, and Tassimo remain the market leaders. Branded capsules for all three cost around $0.50 cents per cup.